Exit polls: Inflation, abortion rights drive voters to polls

(NEW YORK) — Voters headed to the polls Tuesday for the midterm elections that will determine which party holds the Senate and House of Representatives and could significantly impact President Joe Biden’s agenda for the final two years of his first term in the White House.

According to a recent ABC/Post poll, 80% of likely voters said the economy was their top issue in their vote for Congress and 77% said the same about inflation.

Even after the polls close and votes are counted Tuesday night, it could be days or even a week before final midterm election results are known in every state, according to election experts and officials.

Here is how the news developed. All times Eastern:

Nov 09, 12:02 AM EST
Latino, Hispanic voters push Florida farther to the right

In the governor’s race, Hispanics overall broke for incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis by 15 points, 57% to 42%, compared with a 10-point lead for Democrat Andrew Gillum in 2018.

The shift was primarily among non-Cuban Hispanics. This group went from a lead of 30 points for the Democratic candidate in the last gubernatorial election, 64-34 Gillum to DeSantis, to a 5-point lead for DeSantis this year, 52-47%.

Among Cuban Hispanics, DeSantis won by 37 points over Democratic candidate Charlie Crist, 68% to 31%, compared with a 32-point win in this group in 2018.

Republican Sen. Marco Rubio also did well among Hispanic and Latino voters, beating Democratic challenger Val Demings by 12 points, 55% to 43%.

This includes a 35-point win among Cuban Hispanics, 67% to 32%, and a narrow 3 points among non-Cuban Hispanics, 50% to 47%. In Rubio’s last race, he lost Hispanic voters overall by a narrow 2 points, including a substantial 19% among non-Cuban Hispanics. He had a similarly strong backing from Cuban Hispanics in 2016, winning them by 37%.

Nov 08, 11:53 PM EST
Exit poll results show 9% of Shapiro voters voted for Oz

According to exit poll results, 9% of Pennsylvania voters who voted for gubernatorial Democratic candidate Josh Shapiro said they voted for Republican Senate candidate Mehmet Oz.

ABC News projects that Shapiro defeated Republican Doug Mastriano in the race for governor.

Nov 08, 11:14 PM EST
Ohio suburban voters prefer Republican JD Vance over Democrat Tim Ryan in Senate race

According to exit poll results, Ohio suburban voters prefer Republican JD Vance over Democratic Rep. Time Ryan in the race for Senate, at 56% to 43%.

In the traditionally red state, 36% of voters are conservatives while 21% are liberals.

Nov 09, 12:02 AM EST
Hassan wins among New Hampshire women and swing voters

Incumbent New Hampshire Sen. Maggie Hassan, who ABC News projects will win her reelection, won among women and swing voters, both independents and moderates.

Hassan won 59% of the female vote and won among 54% of independents and 63% of moderates.

She also won overwhelmingly among voters who said abortion was their top issue, winning 86%.

Thirty-six percent of New Hampshire voters said inflation was their top issue, but abortion came in as a close second with 35% saying the same.

Nov 08, 10:59 PM EST
49% of Pennsylvania voters think Fetterman is in good enough health to represent state, majority say Oz has not lived in state long enough to represent it

In exit poll results, 49% of Pennsylvania voters say Democrat John Fetterman is in good enough health to represent the state effectively in the U.S. Senate.

Questions about Fetterman’s health have swirled since he had a stroke in May.

Fetterman has focused on his opponent’s newcomer status in Pennsylvania and his longtime New Jersey residency. Overwhelmingly, 56% of voters say Republican Mehmet Oz has not lived in Pennsylvania long enough to represent the state, according to preliminary exit poll results.

Nov 08, 10:40 PM EST
Over two-thirds of voters who question Biden 2020 win were Republicans

Over two-thirds of voters most apt to say they do not think President Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election were Republicans, according to preliminary exit poll results.

Nov 08, 10:26 PM EST
Inflation leads nationally as top issue for voters, except in Michigan, Pennsylvania

Nationally, 32% of voters named inflation as their top issue while 27% said abortion is their top issue, followed by crime, immigration and gun policy.

There are differences across states as to the degree which voters name inflation or abortion as their top issue, and voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania named abortion as their top issue over inflation.

Nov 08, 9:42 PM EST
Suburban women favor Fetterman, 50% view Oz as too extreme

Suburban women are divided 52% to 46%, on Democrat John Fetterman to Republican Mehmet Oz, according to preliminary results.

Their clout in Senate races isn’t clear: They voted 62% to 37% for Democratic Sen. Bob Casey in 2018, but retiring Republican Sen. Toomey won in 2016 with just 46% support in this group.

Meanwhile, 50% of Pennsylvania voters think Oz’s views are too extreme, while 45% say the same of Fetterman.

Nov 08, 9:06 PM EST
In Michigan, 47% percent say abortion is most important issue driving their vote, 28% inflation

According to preliminary polling results, nearly half of Michigan voters say abortion is the most important issue driving their vote.

More than half of Michigan voters said abortion should be legal in all or most cases.

Michigan voters have an abortion-related question on the ballot as a legal battle over an abortion ban on the books continues.

Slightly more than a quarter of voters said inflation was the biggest issue.

Nov 08, 8:46 PM EST
Suburban women narrowly prefer Democrats, according to preliminary exit poll results

Just over half of suburban women prefer Democratic House candidates over Republican candidates, according to preliminary exit poll results.

Nov 08, 8:34 PM EST
Voters focused on inflation favor Republicans, those focused on abortion favor Democrats in the House

Over two-thirds of voters focused on inflation as the main issue are favoring Republican House candidates while just over three-fourths of voters who focused on abortion favor Democrats, according to preliminary exit poll results.

Nov 08, 8:32 PM EST
More voters prefer Republicans to control Congress amid inflation economic concerns

According to preliminary exit poll results, about half of voters say they would rather see the Republican Party control the U.S. House of Representatives, while just under half say the same about Democrats.

Independents, often swing voters, are almost equally divided between Democrats and Republicans when it comes to control of the House, barely leaning toward Democrats. In 2020, independents backed Democratic House candidates by a 9 point margin at 53% to 44%.

Over three-fourths of voters who say they have gotten worse off financially in the past two years are favoring Republicans. A stark turnaround from 2020 and 2018, when this group backed Democrats by about 60-point margins, and a return to GOP advantages among worse-off voters in 2016 and 2014.

Nov 08, 8:07 PM EST
New Hampshire swing voters favor Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan

Voters among two potential swing voter groups, moderates and independents, leaned toward New Hampshire incumbent Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan, according to preliminary exit poll results. The lead is wider among moderates over independents.

Hassan also leads among voters who say abortion was their most important issue, but her challenger Republican candidate Donald Bolduc leads with over two-thirds among voters who said inflation was the most important issue in their vote for Senate.

Nov 08, 7:55 PM EST
Trust to handle inflation widens in favor of Republicans

Republicans have widened their lead when it comes to trust to handle inflation with more than half of voters saying they favor the GOP over Democrats, according to preliminary exit poll results.

Nov 08, 7:31 PM EST
Just about a 3rd of Georgia voters say Walker has good judgment, preliminary exit poll results show

Republican Herschel Walker, who’s been embroiled in a personal scandal, is seen as showing good judgment by just about a third of Georgia voters in preliminary results.

By contrast, just over half of voters say incumbent Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock shows good judgment.

But, nearly half said Warnock has views that are too extreme, with less than half saying the same of Walker.

Nov 08, 7:19 PM EST
Georgia suburban women favor Warnock, Abrams in preliminary exit poll results

Georgia Independents leaned toward incumbent Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock over Republican candidate Herschel Walker, according to preliminary exit poll results. The group favored Warnock in 2021 by 4 points.

Statewide suburban voters favored Walker, but Warnock leads in Atlanta suburbs, according to preliminary exit poll results.

However, suburban women voters favored Warnock over Walker.

Suburban women voters favored Democratic candidate Stacy Abrams over Republican incumbent Gov. Brian Kemp, according to preliminary exit poll results.

Kemp, however, has a wide lead over Abrams among voters who cite inflation as the most important issue when it comes to their vote.


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